Economic Update

Market Week: November 28, 2022

The Markets (as of market close November 25, 2022)

Wall Street ended the Thanksgiving week ahead of where it began, as each of the benchmark indexes listed here posted solid gains during a week of light trading. The Global Dow led the indexes, followed by the Dow, the S&P 500, the Russell 2000, and the Nasdaq. Stocks have been rallying since October and the holiday season tends to be strong for equities heading into the final month of the year. Crude oil prices fell for the third straight week, firmly settling below $80.00 per barrel. A cap on Russian oil prices, coupled with China’s surging COVID cases, has kept oil prices muted.

Click here to view the full market update

Market Week: November 21, 2022

The Markets (as of market close November 18, 2022)

Stocks fell last week following warnings from several Federal Reserve officials that more policy tightening was to come. Each of the benchmark indexes listed here closed the week lower after enjoying solid gains the previous week. The Russell 2000 and the Nasdaq fell the furthest, followed by the S&P 500, the Global Dow, and the Dow. Yields on 10-year Treasuries ended last week right where they began. Gold prices couldn’t maintain an early-week surge, ultimately closing lower by the close of trading last Friday. The dollar gained about 0.05%. An abundant supply and waning demand sent crude oil prices lower for the second week in a row.

Click here to view the full market update

Market Week: November 14, 2022

The Markets (as of market close November 11, 2022)

Stocks rebounded from a sluggish start to close last week higher. Investors continued to rally behind equities on the hope that last week’s soft inflation data will prompt the Federal Reserve to curtail its interest-rate hikes. The S&P 500 rose to its best week since June, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq notched its best week in two years. Bond prices advanced, pulling Treasury yields lower. Crude oil prices slid lower, although they could jump in December when the European ban on Russian oil shipments by sea takes effect on December 5, potentially limiting supply. Gold prices advanced for the second consecutive week. The dollar endured the largest two-day fall in 13 years after plunging last Thursday and Friday.

Click here to view the full market update

Market Week: November 7, 2022

The Markets (as of market close November 4, 2022)

Despite a late-week rally, stocks closed lower last week. Investors continued to try to assess the plethora of mixed data and its impact on the economy. Inflation continued to rise, and the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates up another 75.0 basis points, yet the October job figures were above expectations — the result of which has been market volatility. For example, the S&P 500 has recorded five monthly moves of at least 7.0% either upward or downward. With the release of the consumer price index later this week, more volatility is likely. Nevertheless, each of the benchmark indexes listed here slid lower last week, led by the Nasdaq, which dropped nearly 6.0% as tech shares fell nearly 7.0%. Long-term bond prices also fell, pushing yields higher, with 10-year Treasury yields increasing 14.0 basis points. The dollar ended the week relatively flat, while gold prices advanced for the first time in a month. Crude oil prices finished at their highest price in a month, as the prospects of China’s relaxation of COVID restrictions likely will remove the lid on crude oil prices.

Click here to view the full market update

Market Month: October 2022

The Markets (as of market close October 31, 2022)

October saw stocks close higher, the first monthly gain since July. Investors were encouraged by hopes that the Federal Reserve will pull back from its aggressive interest-rate hike policy. In addition, solid third-quarter earnings could be a sign that the economy can withstand the battle to lower inflation. Each of the benchmark indexes listed here posted notable gains, led by the Dow, which rose nearly 14.0%. The Russell 2000 gained about 11.0%, followed by the Global Dow, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq. After two consecutive quarters of retractions, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.6% in the third quarter. Personal spending, which accounts for nearly 70% of the economy, increased 1.4% in the third quarter. A strong labor market and ample savings have supported consumer spending. The Treasury deficit for fiscal year 2022 was nearly half the total of the previous fiscal year. Industrial production increased, as did new orders for durable goods. However, not all economic indicators were positive. The housing sector continued to lag, impacted by rising mortgage interest rates. Inflation indicators, which had shown a decline in August, reversed course in September. The personal consumption expenditures price index and the consumer price index increased.

Click here to view the full market update

Market Week: October 31, 2022

The Markets (as of market close October 28, 2022)

Wall Street continued its weekly rally last week, with each of the benchmark indexes listed here posting solid gains. Traders focused on positive earnings reports from major megacap technology and communication companies rather than the latest data that showed inflation continuing to rise, opening the door for more interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Solid corporate earnings in the third quarter may be evidence that the economy can withstand the battle against inflation. However, a slowdown in manufacturing and the housing market could be an indication that the rate increases are impacting at least some parts of the economy. Nevertheless, stocks rallied for the second consecutive week, making it look likely that October will be a strong month.

Click here to view the full market update

Market Week: October 24, 2022

The Markets (as of market close October 21, 2022)

Wall Street enjoyed a notable surge last week, as investors clung to hopes the Federal Reserve may consider scaling back its aggressive policy stance against rising inflation. A report last Friday indicated that some members of the Fed are willing to debate a smaller interest-rate hike in December, while slowing down the pace of increases moving forward. The Dow, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq notched their largest weekly gains in four months. Investors looked favorably on risk last week after some favorable company quarterly results, lower company stock valuations, and a reversal of economic policy in the United Kingdom, which led to the resignation of its prime minister. Long-term bond yields advanced last week, gold prices closed higher, while the dollar slipped lower. Crude oil prices dipped on fears of a global economic slowdown.

Click here to view the full market update

Market Week: October 17, 2022

The Markets (as of market close October 14, 2022)

Wall Street closed generally lower last week, with only the Dow able to garner a gain. The latest data showed inflation is stubbornly rising, which could lead to more hawkish rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. While some big financial institutions reported solid third-quarter earnings, a few major banks’ earnings were not so positive. Long-term bond prices slid lower, driving yields higher. The dollar continued to strengthen against a basket of currencies. Crude oil prices dipped lower as falling demand more than offset receding output.

Click here to view the full market update

Market Week: October 10, 2022

The Markets (as of market close October 7, 2022)

Market gains early last week were enough to outpace declines later, as stocks enjoyed their best weekly gains in a month. The Russell 2000, the Dow, and the Global Dow paced the benchmark indexes listed here. The S&P 500 climbed higher, while the Nasdaq was able to hold on to a marginal gain. Investors saw a strong labor report, which included an unexpected drop in the unemployment rate, as adding fuel to the Federal Reserve’s fire of continuing interest-rate hikes. Crude oil prices advanced for five consecutive days following an OPEC+ cut in production, prompting some analysts to predict prices will soon reach $100.00+ per barrel. Gas prices, which had steadily declined during the summer, are now heading higher. Last week saw 10-year Treasury yields rise 8.0 basis points, with the dollar and gold prices also advancing.

Click here to view the full market update

Market Week: October 3, 2022

The Markets (as of market close September 30, 2022)

Wall Street ended a very tepid month of September on a downswing. Each of the benchmark indexes listed here lost value last week, as investors continued to worry about the impact the Federal Reserve policies will have on the economy. The 0.3% increase in the August personal consumption expenditures price index certainly didn’t help support the possibility of an easing of the aggressive rate-hike tightening employed by the Fed. While stock values dipped, long-term bond prices also declined last week. With prices waning, bond yields rose higher. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 25 basis points last week. Crude oil prices edged up, while the dollar slipped lower. Gold prices rose about $20.00 per ounce.

Click here to view the full market update